Showing posts with label Andy Baetens. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Andy Baetens. Show all posts

Sunday, October 25, 2026

MODUS Champions Week 2026: What Do the Q4QS Statistics Tell Us?

 


Twelve players, one title, and a rather interesting set of statistics.

With MODUS Super Series Champions Week about to begin, I've been looking through my separate Q4QS MODUS database to see whether the numbers tell us anything that might not be obvious from the names involved.

And there are a few surprises.

Rather than relying on reputation or general darts rankings, I've compared the players' recorded MODUS performances, including their overall averages, recent form and previous meetings.

There is one important qualification: my database currently contains ten of the twelve qualifying weeks from Series 15, so this is not a complete statistical record of the current series. However, it does give us plenty of historical MODUS performances to examine.

The twelve finalists compared

Averages are three-dart match averages from the database's calculated player statistics. Last 20 is each player's latest recorded MODUS matches, not necessarily their latest matches in all competitions.

Player

MODUS matches

Overall avg

Last 20 avg

Last 20 wins

Darren Beveridge

19

95.73

95.73*

16/19

Derek Coulson

286

93.66

94.80

16/20

Andy Baetens

61

92.19

94.18

15/20

Danny Ayres

56

89.65

92.68

13/20

Archie Self

109

89.33

95.65

13/20

Ted Evetts

133

88.90

88.55

13/20

Scott Robertson

75

89.74

88.60

16/20

Neil Duff

466

87.30

86.44

15/20

Scott Campbell

156

86.83

88.53

14/20

Michael Wiles

27

86.53

86.46

12/20

David Davies

210

85.86

90.11

13/20

Benito van de Pas

29

83.86

85.64

15/20

Beveridge has only 19 matches recorded, so his last-20 figure covers those 19.

The biggest takeaway is that the recent-form picture is quite different from the overall rankings. Archie Self's 95.65 over his latest 20 matches is particularly impressive compared with his longer-term 89.33.

Beveridge sets the average benchmark

Darren Beveridge tops the overall average comparison with 95.73.

That's an impressive figure, although his sample of 19 matches is considerably smaller than that of several other finalists.

He has won 16 of those 19 matches, an 84.2% success rate.

If he maintains that combination of scoring and winning, he will be difficult to stop.

Coulson has the experience and the numbers

Derek Coulson is perhaps the most convincing contender when we combine average and sample size.

Across 286 recorded MODUS matches, he has averaged 93.66 and won 207.

His last 20 matches are even more encouraging: 16 victories and a 94.80 average.

Maintaining those figures across so many appearances is no small achievement.

Coulson also has previous experience against several of the other finalists, something which could become important as the week develops.

Archie Self's recent scoring deserves attention

One of the most interesting figures belongs to Archie Self.

His overall MODUS average is 89.33 across 109 matches, but that rises to 95.65 over his latest 20 recorded matches.

That's a substantial difference.

It suggests that judging Self solely on his longer-term average could underestimate his current scoring ability.

He has won 13 of those last 20 matches, so his recent scoring hasn't translated into quite as high a win percentage as Coulson or Beveridge.

Nevertheless, that scoring level makes him a serious contender.

Baetens is another strong challenger

Andy Baetens has recorded 61 MODUS matches, winning 44 and averaging 92.19.

His latest 20 matches show an improvement to 94.18, alongside 15 victories.

That puts him among the strongest players when we look at both recent scoring and results.

If he brings that level into Champions Week, he has every reason to be confident.

Don't overlook the others

Danny Ayres has a 92.68 average across his latest 20 recorded MODUS matches, which puts him firmly in the conversation.

Scott Robertson has won 16 of his latest 20, matching Coulson's recent win total, although his average of 88.60 is lower.

Neil Duff has an extraordinary amount of MODUS experience in this comparison, with 466 recorded matches. His recent 15 wins from 20 show that he remains competitive.

David Davies is another interesting case. His overall average is 85.86, but his latest 20 matches average 90.11.

That is precisely the sort of difference I wanted this analysis to identify.

And Michael Wiles, Scott Campbell, Ted Evetts and Benito van de Pas all have records suggesting they shouldn't be dismissed simply because others have stronger headline figures.

What about previous meetings?

This is where the database becomes particularly useful.

Coulson and Scott Robertson have met seven times in the recorded MODUS data, with Coulson leading 4–3.

Coulson and Neil Duff have met six times, with their record level at three wins apiece.

Archie Self leads Scott Campbell 3–2 across five meetings, while Coulson leads Self 2–1.

Those results don't guarantee anything this week, but they do remind us that some of the players have already demonstrated an ability to beat one another.

And with several days of competition ahead, those familiar match-ups could become significant.

My statistical shortlist

Based on the available MODUS evidence, four players particularly interest me.

Derek Coulson has the strongest combination of long-term scoring, substantial match history and recent results.

Darren Beveridge has the highest average and best recorded win percentage, although his sample is much smaller.

Andy Baetens combines a strong overall record with excellent recent form.

Archie Self is the player whose recent scoring stands out most sharply against his longer-term numbers.

If I had to choose one player whose statistics might surprise people, it would be Self.

But this isn't a prediction that the title is his. It's an observation that his recent MODUS scoring deserves serious attention.

The real test begins now

Statistics can tell us who has performed well, but they cannot guarantee what happens next.

Champions Week brings different opponents, different pressures and a different challenge from winning an individual qualifying week.

That's what makes it worth following.

I'll be watching how these twelve players perform against their historical numbers, whether the leading scorers maintain their standards, and whether somebody further down the averages produces the performances of their life.

The Q4QS numbers point towards Coulson, Beveridge, Baetens and Self. But will the darts follow the statistics?

Sunday, August 16, 2026

MODUS Super Series Week 3 Preview – A Fascinating Mix of Experience, Form and Emerging Talent

 


The MODUS Super Series returns for Week 3 of Series 15, and this week's line-up offers exactly the sort of mixture that makes the competition so interesting.

There are players with considerable experience at the top level, some currently trying to fight their way back towards the PDC circuit, emerging names making progress on the Development and Challenge Tours, and others arriving with excellent form away from the PDC system.

And when I put the field through the Q4QS database, there isn't necessarily one overwhelming favourite.

Paul Krohne is the highest-ranked player in the field in the Q4QS data at No.21, but there are plenty of reasons to look further down the list – not least Dylan Slevin arriving as a brand-new Challenge Tour champion and Llew Bevan bringing an extraordinary recent winning record.

Paul Krohne Sets the Q4QS Benchmark

Krohne probably deserves to start as one of the major names to watch.

The German sits 21st in the Q4QS rankings, with a rating of 711.31 and an overall database average of 89.56. More importantly, he has demonstrated winning form.

His recent Swiss Open & Helvetia Open title came with a 91.87 tournament average, while his five most recent recorded tournaments also contain two further quarter-finals.

Short-format MODUS matches can be unforgiving, but Krohne appears to have the combination of scoring and consistency required to make a serious challenge.

Slevin Arrives as a Challenge Tour Champion

Perhaps the most timely storyline of the entire week belongs to Dylan Slevin.

The database already shows the Irishman reaching a Development Tour 19 semi-final with an 87.14 tournament average, as well as a quarter-final at Development Tour 20.

But he has subsequently gone one better on the Challenge Tour.

Slevin won Challenge Tour Event 19 on Saturday, going through seven rounds and claiming his maiden Challenge Tour title. That is significant form to take straight into a week of MODUS competition.

He's certainly one I'll be watching closely.

Don't Overlook Andy Baetens

Andy Baetens is another player whose recent record deserves attention.

His overall Q4QS database average stands at 89.03, and there is a reassuring consistency to his recent tournament numbers.

Baetens averaged 92.25 during a run through a PDC European Tour Host Nation Qualifier, 92.29 in reaching a Belgian Open quarter-final and 89.04 during a Denmark Open & Masters semi-final run.

He might not have the freshest title next to his name, but his underlying performances suggest he could be very difficult to shift.

McEwan Back on Familiar Ground

Jim McEwan immediately stands out for another reason – he knows exactly how to win the MODUS Super Series.

McEwan is already a former weekly champion, having won Week 5 of Series 14, and he comes into this appearance with some excellent numbers behind him.

He's 8-2 across his last ten matches in the Q4QS database and recently reached an Isle of Man final with a 93.65 event average.

Perhaps even more eye-catching was a 103.08 average in his most recent recorded event.

Experience of this particular environment shouldn't be underestimated either.

Llew Bevan – The Form Player?

If we're looking purely at momentum, Llew Bevan is impossible to ignore.

His Q4QS ranking of 299 doesn't tell the full story.

Bevan is currently 10-0 across his last ten recorded matches, while his recent tournament record includes multiple titles. He averaged 93.27 when winning the Towy Vault Break Round Robin 2 and has individual recorded performances of 107.36 and 109.98.

The obvious question is how that form translates to the MODUS stage against a deeper international field.

That's precisely why he's one of the most intriguing players of the week.

Cansdale Continues to Progress

Asa Cansdale provides another interesting storyline.

He's 8-2 in his last ten and recently reached the semi-finals of the ADC Winmau Championship South Event 11 with an 85.21 tournament average.

His recent results also contain an 86.04 average during a Development Tour Last 64 run, demonstrating that he can compete effectively in different environments.

This feels like another opportunity to see how far that progression has come.

Plenty More Beyond the Leading Six

And that's what makes this field particularly difficult to call.

Ciaran Forde is 7-3 across his last ten and has produced a 94.52 individual match average, while his recent calendar has included plenty of Development Tour competition.

Former Grand Slam champion José de Sousa needs little introduction. His more recent database results haven't matched the heights of his best years, but there's still evidence of his scoring ability, including a 93.94 match average during Q-School.

Mike Warburton is another fascinating one. His recent Challenge Tour results have been inconsistent, but his database contains a remarkable 110.51 match average, showing exactly what he's capable of when everything clicks.

Killian Heffernan comes in at 7-3 across his last ten, with plenty of recent Development Tour action behind him, while Darren Webster brings vast experience despite having much less recent data available in the Q4QS database.

Arne Spee completes the line-up, although there isn't currently enough information within this Q4QS export for me to make the same sort of data-backed assessment of his chances.


A Difficult Week to Call

There are arguments for experience, current form and raw numbers throughout this field.

Krohne has arguably the strongest overall Q4QS profile. Slevin has the freshest major result. Baetens brings consistency. McEwan knows how to win here. Cansdale continues to progress.

And then there's Bevan.

A player arriving 10-0 in the database after a succession of excellent performances away from the major professional circuits is exactly the type of story I enjoy following with Q4QS. Now we get to see how that form translates to the MODUS environment.

It should make Week 3 of Series 15 well worth watching.

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