Wednesday, November 5, 2025

Little Stat Thing

 


So with 3 big TV events coming up, I thought I’d look at some stats and see which players may be going under the radar, who has had a good season and some surprises to look out for going into 2026.

I started looking at who might win the PDC World Darts Championship and if there was any correlation with current form . Turns out there isn’t really.  Players that win the Grand Slam or Players Championship Finals, don’t necessarily go on to win the World Championship, even though it would seem that those would be the ‘in-form’ players

However only on a handful of occasions has the winner of either of these competitions gone on to win the World Championship.

So, that got me thinking, is it more about overall performance in the year that should be taken into account? Stage and TV experience would also come into play, but that is subjective and opinion based. I’m sure I could dig out specific stats for that, but I thought I would just stick with performance stats over the year.

I took the Pro Tour, Challenge Tour and Development Tour and then ranked all the players combined to get an overall list. I chose factors such as season average and checkout percentage, plus a few other variables. I then ranked players based on each variable and then totalled again.

My top 10 ranked players are as follows:



Some interesting finds then. Notice how top names such Luke Humphries (12th) , Michael van Gerwen (28th) and Nathan Aspinall (17th) do not appear. They have all won big tournaments this year, but overall performance has not been as consistent. Will this play a part for the rest of the season?

For me, the big surprise was seeing Luke Littler was not top.  Admittedly Josh Rock has been excellent this year, and starting to the form of two years ago, where many were talking about him as the ‘next big thing’. Even so, I didn’t think many could touch Littler, but I’ll go with my stats and wait and see.  Stephen Bunting’s great early season form has helped to his position of 2nd, and could be interesting come the TV tournaments, where he is a big crowd favourite. 

One of highest placed non PDC Tour Card holder is Shane McGuirk. That is a surprise too. Although he won the 2025 WDF World Championship and is clearly as class act, I’d still expect to see others higher, but the figures have made him the best, based on season performance.  So I wonder if he can retain that title. I reckon the bookies may overlook him (again), as well as some pundits.

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